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The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
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* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

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Winter

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 UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...

***2025***
* Wed. Jan. 29 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Friday, January 24, 2025

SPX: What's In Store From 2025 To 2029?

On December 29, 2019, I posted this article on the SPX which analyzed its history from 1932, and which presented a long-view forecast of what's in store for the 2020s and 2030s.

Overall, it showed that, for the most part, the SPX has been a strong BUY candidate for longer-term investors over an average of 30 years running, and that it was likely to be repeated for another 10-20 years, generally speaking, based on the following chart (each candle represents a period of one year).

SPX Yearly chart

As can be seen on the following current monthly chart, price dropped a bit from that date before it began to rise, break above the long-term channel and rise again, then drop and retest the breakout level, before, finally, proceeding to form a new and steeper channel and upward trend (defined by an Andrew's Pitchfork technical drawing).

In keeping with the above-referenced bullish outlook for the 2020s, I'd expect to see the SPX trading around one of two possible levels by the end of President Trump's second term (January 20, 2029)...barring any catastrophic events, of course:

  • 9,500 at the upper edge of the lower 1/4 of the channel, or
  • 11,000 at the upper edge of entire channel
So, we'll see what happens...and, as I explained in the above-referenced post, as long as the Technology Sector remains strong until then, one of those two scenarios is a very real possibility.

SPX Monthly chart