WELCOME

Welcome and thank you for visiting!

The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
* My posts are also re-published by several other websites and I have no control as to when their editors do so, or for the accuracy in their editing and reproduction of my content.
* In answer to this often-asked question, please be advised that I do not post articles from other writers on my site.
* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

DISCLAIMER: All the information contained within my posts are my opinions only and none of it may be construed as financial or trading advice...please read my full Disclaimer at this link.

Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

Retro Xmas Shopping

Retro Xmas Shopping

ECONOMIC EVENTS

 UPCOMING (MAJOR) U.S. ECONOMIC EVENTS...

***2025***
* Wed. Jan. 29 @ 2:00 pm ET - FOMC Rate Announcement + Forecasts and @ 2:30 pm ET - Fed Chair Press Conference

*** CLICK HERE for link to Economic Calendars for all upcoming events.

Monday, April 26, 2021

Dr. COPPER's Feverish History

In a nutshell...straight up...straight down.

Is this time any different?

Historical "mean" value is around 2.50, as shown on the following monthly chart, while it's had difficulty remaining above 3.00 and, especially, above 3.50 for any length of time.

What has actually, fundamentally, changed today since March of 2020 that suggests the current sky-high price is warranted and that it will remain so in the long term...versus pure speculation for some kind of uncertain future demand? 

While the writing of new political policies may be quick and a knee-jerk reaction to some people's fanciful wishlist and perception of reality, passing them into law and quickly implementing them without cannibalizing and destroying one's economy in the process is another reality.

Dr. Copper is likely caught up in such a feverish drama and headed for a nosedive sometime soon. The question is, will it drop below 3.50, or even 3.00?