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Thursday, May 03, 2012

A Comparison of DBC and AUD/USD

Further to my post of May 2nd, there is a similarity in the behaviour of price action since last May, as reflected in the following two Daily charts of the Commodities ETF (DBC) and the AUD/USD forex pair.

At the moment, each one is trading below both the 50 sma (red) and 200 sma (pink), both are at their respective lower Bollinger Band, the MACD has just hooked down on Thursday's close, and the Stochastics has crossed over to the downside. The DBC is approaching major support in the vicinity of 27.47, while the AUD/USD is trading immediately below trendline apex support of 1.0274.

A break with conviction and hold below these respective support levels would indicate further weakness in commodities, and possibly drag the equities markets further down...two to watch for further direction.