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The charts, graphs and comments in my Trading Blog represent my technical analysis and observations of a variety of world markets...
* Major World Market Indices * Futures Markets * U.S. Sectors and ETFs * Commodities * U.S. Bonds * Forex

N.B.
* The content in my articles is time-sensitive. Each one shows the date and time (New York ET) that I publish them. By the time you read them, market conditions may be quite different than that which is described in my posts, and upon which my analyses are based at that time.
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* From time to time, I will add updated market information and charts to some of my articles, so it's worth checking back here occasionally for the latest analyses.

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Dots

* If the dots don't connect, gather more dots until they do...or, just follow the $$$...

Decorating the tree

Decorating the tree

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Sunday, April 08, 2012

Inflation or Deflation in China?

The latest monthly data released Sunday night shows that Consumer Prices in China rose, while the Price of Goods Purchased and Sold by Producers declined, as shown on the graphs below. Producer Prices have now dipped below zero for the first time since 2009.

Since they're both "leading indicators of consumer inflation," and they're both telling wildly differing stories, it's difficult to know where inflation actually stands in China...and which indicators the Chinese use to calculate inflation in order to set interest rates. We'll see if these prices continue to diverge on the next month's data releases.