1260/50 in the Cards for S&P 500 Index?

Possible scenario for the S&P 500 Index...it drops and holds below the Weekly consolidation level of 1340ish, as shown on the chart below, down to a Fibonacci and price confluence level of 1260/50 to form a potential right shoulder of an IH&S pattern or the handle of a cup & handle pattern before resuming its upward trek.

Probable scenario? Time will tell...